Normally, I'd agree with you, but Stardock's also behind this one. If nothing else, Stardock's post-release support is phenomenal. After they finish getting Demigod out the door, Stardock plans on releasing another AI tweak/bugfix patch for GalCiv II.
And that's pretty much where I am with this one.
If it ends up more like a Gas Powered product, I'm going to steer well clear. But if it ends up more a Stardock product, it could well prove to be one of the best games to be released this year.
At the moment, who knows.