Sorry Prez, can't agree with you there. What's the safest assumption? That hundreds of thousands of DRM-aware and tech savvy people are pirating copies for their legitimately owned copies -OR- lots of people like free games? I'm going with the simplest explanation. I don't doubt that publishers overshoot on some piracy estimates but I dare say they aren't very far off. That's fine; at least as you admit that it's only an assumption, which is all I really ask. In truth, I have no idea how far off they are in their estimates, nor do you, and neither do they. I do know that of all the people I know personally who download games (myself included), only one does so without buying it if they intend to play a significant portion of it (Not myself).
Again, my initial point in this was to debunk the "only pirates think publishers exaggerate piracy claims." myth. I have NEVER stolen a game, nor will I ever. I love and respect gaming too much to not support the developers who contribute to it.
"We live on a placid island of ignorance in the midst of black seas of infinity, and it was not meant that we should voyage far."
"Universal compassion is the only guarantee of morality."