Kxmode wrote on Jan 2, 2020, 18:54:
So extrapolating on that, we can find two pieces of data. First, based on the 32,583 total scores on Steam, 97% would put the number of units sold on Steam around 8-9 million. When you consider Steam's entire active monthly of over 100 million, 8-9 million for new Rockstar games is likely a reasonable estimate. However, I've noticed the Steam community tends to be more active contributors to ratings and reviews, so, for the sake of realism, it might be more accurate to adjust the totals to between 4-6 million units.
Epic Games Store = 400K (December)
Steam = 4-6 million (December)
So the conclusion is when people had a real choice between Steam or Epic Games Store, they went Steam. Based on that, it is probably safe to extrapolate that had people had an opportunity between Steam or EGS for Borderlands 3 and Metro Exodus, the simship numbers reveal most would have picked Steam.
Your figures might be a bit generous. As a general rule, I've found that User Reviews x 40 = decent sales figure ballpark. So 32,583 x 40 = ~1.3 million. Not great for a Rockstar game but Red Dead has never been as popular as GTA and the Steam version was delayed an extra month on top of the year-long delay from the original console launch. Even with the delay, the Steam version is selling 3x better than the EGS version. For simultaneous launches, the sales gap will only be bigger.