Activision Buys King Digital; Releases Q3 Financials

Activision Blizzard announces the acquisition of King Digital Entertainment, with the deal's 5.9 billion price tag reflecting how much the Candy Crush developer has been crushing it. The good news for them is that this brings Activision Blizzard's monthly total user count to more than a half-billion, and the deal is expected to boost Activision's adjusted revenue and earnings by about 30%. The potential bad news is that about a third of the company's revenue is from Candy Crush Saga, which is by far the most successful of the more than 200 games they've created since 2003. "The combined revenues and profits solidify our position as the largest, most profitable standalone company in interactive entertainment," states Activision Blizzard CEO Bobby Kotick. "With a combined global network of more than half a billion monthly active users, our potential to reach audiences around the world on the device of their choosing enables us to deliver great games to even bigger audiences than ever before." Activision Blizzard also announces "better-than-expected" third quarter 2015 financial results showing that World of Warcraft subscriptions, which they call "relatively stable" ended the quarter at 5.5 million, and in spite of the dropoff, note WoW "remains the No. 1 subscription-based MMORPG in the world." Here's more:
Selected Business Highlights:

  • Activision Publishing had its highest ever third quarter non-GAAP operating income, driven by strong engagement and digital revenue, with Q3 monthly active users (MAUs)B up 17% year-over-year, and the largest Q3 and year-to-date digital revenues in its history. Activision Publishing continues to have 3 of the top 5 games on next-generation consoles life-to-date.2
  • Activision Publishing's Call of Duty® franchise year-to-date non-GAAP revenues increased by a double-digit percentage year-over-year due to strong catalog sales of Call of Duty: Black Ops, Call of Duty: Black Ops II, and Call of Duty: Advanced Warfare, both for full game and Supply Drops. Call of Duty: Advanced Warfare remains the No. 1 game on next-generation consoles life-to-date, as it has been since its launch a year ago.2
  • On September 15, 2015, Activision Publishing and Bungie released The Taken King, the largest update to the Destiny universe yet, which was enthusiastically received by fans and critics alike. Day-one downloads broke PlayStation records, day-one engagement saw the highest number of active players in Destiny's history, daily player engagement is now well above 3 hours per day and the Destiny community has climbed to over 25 million registered players. Since its launch, Destiny has become the most watched console game on Twitch.
  • On September 20, 2015, Activision Publishing released Skylanders® SuperChargers, the next installment in the franchise with all new vehicles, action figures and exclusive Nintendo characters. Even with increased competition, SuperChargers is one of Skylanders' highest-rated entries to date and has strong engagement, with more toys per player than last year.
  • Blizzard Entertainment's third quarter MAUsB were up 50% year-over-year, reflecting strong engagement with the online player community.
  • World of Warcraft® subscriptions remained relatively stable, ending the quarter at 5.5 million subscribersC. Players are excited about the upcoming expansion, Legion™, which will feature a new class, customizable Artifact weapons, class order halls, and much more. World of Warcraft remains the No. 1 subscription‐based MMORPG in the world.
  • On August 24, 2015, Blizzard Entertainment launched The Grand Tournament™, the second expansion for Hearthstone®: Heroes of Warcraft™, with over 130 new cards. As a result of this new content, continued strength on mobile, and continued strength across geographies, key engagement metrics grew 77% year-over-year and set a new quarterly revenue record for the franchise.
  • Blizzard Entertainment brought new players into Heroes of the Storm™ with the release of The Eternal Conflict, a series of content and hero additions based on the Diablo® universe. Blizzard also held the Heroes of the Storm regional championships as part of its Road to BlizzCon® esports series, including the Americas Championship in Las Vegas and the Europe Championship in Prague.
  • Blizzard Entertainment's Diablo III continued to bring in new players in Q3, and in China, the game passed the 2-million-unit milestone.
  • Blizzard Entertainment began closed beta testing for Overwatch™ on October 27, 2015, with over 7 million players signed-up to participate, not including China.

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36 Replies. 2 pages. Viewing page 2.
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16.
 
Re: Activision Buys King Digital; Releases Q3 Financials
Nov 3, 2015, 13:25
16.
Re: Activision Buys King Digital; Releases Q3 Financials Nov 3, 2015, 13:25
Nov 3, 2015, 13:25
 
killer_roach wrote on Nov 3, 2015, 12:37:
I understand the idea behind trying to get a return on excess cash (and if they don't have to bring the cash back to the US to be taxed a second time, all the better for them)

No, that's not how it works. It often wasn't taxed the first time either, and corporations get a tax credit for any foreign taxes they've paid on that income. They aren't being taxed twice.
"The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves, but wiser people so full of doubts." -- Bertrand Russell (I think...)
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15.
 
Re: Activision Buys King Digital; Releases Q3 Financials
Nov 3, 2015, 12:37
15.
Re: Activision Buys King Digital; Releases Q3 Financials Nov 3, 2015, 12:37
Nov 3, 2015, 12:37
 
Slick wrote on Nov 3, 2015, 10:59:
just imagine for a moment, if they spent that on new IPs, you could pay 5900 developers $100k a year EACH for 10 years. I'm pretty sure you could build something more impressive than candy crush with that army. But when has Acti-Bliz gambled on anything that doesn't have a proven multi-billion dollar revenue stream lately?

The problem is that, at any given time, there probably aren't 5900 developers out there in the open market worth paying $100k a year to, short of poaching from other developers (and that gets messy).

I understand the idea behind trying to get a return on excess cash (and if they don't have to bring the cash back to the US to be taxed a second time, all the better for them), but I would have had a long and hard look at making more prudent and diversified acquisitions than throwing all the eggs in one basket. EA, their billion-dollar grab of PopCap aside, has done pretty well at bringing in studios in the eight-to-nine-figure range, and at that cost you're basically doing what you're suggesting, only with picking up teams that already have their own ideas ready to go and are used to working as a team (plus, if you're good, maybe also picking up a team in a part of the world where you're looking to do more business).

Ultimately, though, I'm closer to your side on this. At least get a handful of teams going and get a few different good ideas out there. Paying for past performance is financial suicide.
14.
 
Re: Activision Buys King Digital; Releases Q3 Financials
Nov 3, 2015, 12:20
El Pit
 
14.
Re: Activision Buys King Digital; Releases Q3 Financials Nov 3, 2015, 12:20
Nov 3, 2015, 12:20
 El Pit
 
Slick wrote on Nov 3, 2015, 10:59:
Goddamn, can you fucking believe 5.9B for candy crush????

just imagine for a moment, if they spent that on new IPs, you could pay 5900 developers $100k a year EACH for 10 years. I'm pretty sure you could build something more impressive than candy crush with that army. But when has Acti-Bliz gambled on anything that doesn't have a proven multi-billion dollar revenue stream lately?

For just under $100,000,000 you can build a space sim including FPS, bells, and whistles!
...we yet realize that America's leadership and prestige depend, not merely upon our unmatched material progress, riches and military strength, but on how we use our power in the interests of world peace and human betterment.
-Dwight D. Eisenhower
13.
 
Re: Activision Buys King Digital; Releases Q3 Financials
Nov 3, 2015, 11:58
13.
Re: Activision Buys King Digital; Releases Q3 Financials Nov 3, 2015, 11:58
Nov 3, 2015, 11:58
 
Been pretty happy buying into ATVI stock - I only bought into it 6 months ago at 22 points and it's steadily gone up. With the Q3 results it jumped up 4% to 36.
12.
 
Re: Activision Buys King Digital; Releases Q3 Financials
Nov 3, 2015, 11:42
12.
Re: Activision Buys King Digital; Releases Q3 Financials Nov 3, 2015, 11:42
Nov 3, 2015, 11:42
 
They probably just wanted to use the word 'Saga' in a title, and didn't want to deal with it in court.
11.
 
Re: Activision Buys King Digital; Releases Q3 Financials
Nov 3, 2015, 11:37
11.
Re: Activision Buys King Digital; Releases Q3 Financials Nov 3, 2015, 11:37
Nov 3, 2015, 11:37
 
PacoTaco wrote on Nov 3, 2015, 11:18:
Can anyone do the math on how much Candy needs to be sold to break even on this deal? Must be 1000 clones of Candy Crush at this point and done mostly by terrible devs.

Last I had heard, King was estimated to be making $250 million a year in profit off of their titles. Assuming flat revenue growth, that means Activision bought them at a forward P/E of about 24 - which is actually on the low side for software companies. Makes me think there's a considerable (possibly massive) risk premium built into this purchase.

Mind you, it'd make sense to take as much of a risk premium on this company as possible - King doesn't really have the same sort of network infrastructure that even Activision has, much less Ubisoft or EA, and they don't have any significant software tech assets like engines, APIs, or patents. What Activision bought was a franchise built on some aging IP, and paid dearly for it. This makes Microsoft's purchase of Mojang seem sane in comparison - the only rival in terms of a ballsy acquisition in online/mobile gaming that I can think of was the rumors of Microsoft buying Zynga before they ran away from that potential buyout screaming in terror.
10.
 
Re: Activision Buys King Digital; Releases Q3 Financials
Nov 3, 2015, 11:34
10.
Re: Activision Buys King Digital; Releases Q3 Financials Nov 3, 2015, 11:34
Nov 3, 2015, 11:34
 
This is going to bite them in the ass. There's no way that Candy Crush will continue to rake in the kind of money it has been.

The ROI on this seems poor.

Also, more faith lost in the human race. That game is probably the most annoying piece of "entertainment" on the planet
9.
 
Re: Activision Buys King Digital; Releases Q3 Financials
Nov 3, 2015, 11:23
9.
Re: Activision Buys King Digital; Releases Q3 Financials Nov 3, 2015, 11:23
Nov 3, 2015, 11:23
 
a

This comment was edited on Sep 1, 2019, 01:22.
8.
 
Re: Activision Buys King Digital; Releases Q3 Financials
Nov 3, 2015, 11:18
8.
Re: Activision Buys King Digital; Releases Q3 Financials Nov 3, 2015, 11:18
Nov 3, 2015, 11:18
 
a

This comment was edited on Sep 1, 2019, 01:22.
7.
 
Re: Activision Buys King Digital; Releases Q3 Financials
Nov 3, 2015, 11:15
7.
Re: Activision Buys King Digital; Releases Q3 Financials Nov 3, 2015, 11:15
Nov 3, 2015, 11:15
 
MoreLuckThanSkill wrote on Nov 3, 2015, 09:57:
Holy shit... 5.9 billion?

Casual phone games are just too huge, no wonder most larger game companies have totally sold out the past 10 years or so.

Of course the indie/kickstarter game scene has really improved, so it's not all bad.

But basically, even less money/man power will be spent on Diablo 3 now.

Yeah but a billion people are doing it too, so the odds of your game making it at all is akin to finding the proverbial needle in the haystack.
6.
 
Re: Activision Buys King Digital; Releases Q3 Financials
Nov 3, 2015, 11:07
6.
Re: Activision Buys King Digital; Releases Q3 Financials Nov 3, 2015, 11:07
Nov 3, 2015, 11:07
 
Slick wrote on Nov 3, 2015, 10:59:
Parallax Abstraction wrote on Nov 3, 2015, 10:13:
This is like a nexus of evil management.

Goddamn, can you fucking believe 5.9B for candy crush????

just imagine for a moment, if they spent that on new IPs, you could pay 5900 developers $100k a year EACH for 10 years. I'm pretty sure you could build something more impressive than candy crush with that army. But when has Acti-Bliz gambled on anything that doesn't have a proven multi-billion dollar revenue stream lately?

Just like Valve, who literally haven't had an original thought since the original Half-Life (count em: CounterStrike, Team Fortress, Portal, Left4Dead, Dota2, ALL based off of mods which Valve bought out).

The lesson here is clear: don't take chances. Companies who actually employ developers like EA and Ubisoft take chances, and lots of their games are shit. But the public has spoken, they'd rather have a money-grubbing corp like Valve or Acti-Bliz spoon-feed them dumbed-down test-audience-approved, over-marketed, lowest-common-denominator pieces of shovelware.

Is that why we keep getting every fucking Ubisoft game with the exact same setup in all of their games? Assassin's Creed, Far Cry, Watch Dogs, The Crew?
And EA... with The Sims, Dragon Age, Battlefield series?
They take chances... you are funny.
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5.
 
Re: Activision Buys King Digital; Releases Q3 Financials
Nov 3, 2015, 10:59
Slick
 
5.
Re: Activision Buys King Digital; Releases Q3 Financials Nov 3, 2015, 10:59
Nov 3, 2015, 10:59
 Slick
 
Parallax Abstraction wrote on Nov 3, 2015, 10:13:
This is like a nexus of evil management.

Goddamn, can you fucking believe 5.9B for candy crush????

just imagine for a moment, if they spent that on new IPs, you could pay 5900 developers $100k a year EACH for 10 years. I'm pretty sure you could build something more impressive than candy crush with that army. But when has Acti-Bliz gambled on anything that doesn't have a proven multi-billion dollar revenue stream lately?

Just like Valve, who literally haven't had an original thought since the original Half-Life (count em: CounterStrike, Team Fortress, Portal, Left4Dead, Dota2, ALL based off of mods which Valve bought out).

The lesson here is clear: don't take chances. Companies who actually employ developers like EA and Ubisoft take chances, and lots of their games are shit. But the public has spoken, they'd rather have a money-grubbing corp like Valve or Acti-Bliz spoon-feed them dumbed-down test-audience-approved, over-marketed, lowest-common-denominator pieces of shovelware.
Avatar 57545
4.
 
Re: Activision Buys King Digital; Releases Q3 Financials
Nov 3, 2015, 10:37
4.
Re: Activision Buys King Digital; Releases Q3 Financials Nov 3, 2015, 10:37
Nov 3, 2015, 10:37
 
InBlack wrote on Nov 3, 2015, 09:49:
All hail the new Kings of Casual!

All Hail Diablo Poop Crush!
All Hail Heroes of Warcraft Sugar Candy Mountain!
All Hail Heart of Stone Mega Kerrigan Crush Saga!
All Hail! Hail! Hail!

Ok, I laughed...
Avatar 57660
3.
 
Re: Activision Buys King Digital; Releases Q3 Financials
Nov 3, 2015, 10:13
3.
Re: Activision Buys King Digital; Releases Q3 Financials Nov 3, 2015, 10:13
Nov 3, 2015, 10:13
 
This is like a nexus of evil management.
Parallax Abstraction
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2.
 
Re: Activision Buys King Digital; Releases Q3 Financials
Nov 3, 2015, 09:57
2.
Re: Activision Buys King Digital; Releases Q3 Financials Nov 3, 2015, 09:57
Nov 3, 2015, 09:57
 
Holy shit... 5.9 billion?

Casual phone games are just too huge, no wonder most larger game companies have totally sold out the past 10 years or so.

Of course the indie/kickstarter game scene has really improved, so it's not all bad.

But basically, even less money/man power will be spent on Diablo 3 now.
Avatar 54863
1.
 
Re: Activision Buys King Digital; Releases Q3 Financials
Nov 3, 2015, 09:49
1.
Re: Activision Buys King Digital; Releases Q3 Financials Nov 3, 2015, 09:49
Nov 3, 2015, 09:49
 
All hail the new Kings of Casual!

All Hail Diablo Poop Crush!
All Hail Heroes of Warcraft Sugar Candy Mountain!
All Hail Heart of Stone Mega Kerrigan Crush Saga!
All Hail! Hail! Hail!
I have a nifty blue line!
Avatar 46994
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