First of all, I do believe Vista is a decent operating system. I'm sure Windows 7 is a decent operating system. However, who thinks Windows 7 will succeed where Vista failed? I just see the same problems. MS, you're heading for another loss, because:
1. As I have said before, people with existing PCs aren't likely to go through the trouble of upgrading. People who aren't gaming are going to stay with what they have to browse the internet, use word, or do the simple things that just plain work under XP and their old system. 98 is a different world when compared to XP. Vista is just a different zip code when compared to XP. This desire to stay with what they have is stronger than marketing, especially when your marketing team can't give a clear reason to upgrade.
2. The economy makes #1 even more important. Ut oh, don't expect sales of new PCs to be any better during the release of Windows 7 as compared to Vista. It will be and has been reported to be.. less.
3. Businesses don't upgrade unless they need to. It's a pain in the ass to upgrade your operating systems company wide. See Dell for small/large businesses and how long XP stayed as an option. And those who did upgrade to Vista aren't likely to jump through hoops again so soon. Especially due to point #2.
4. Gamers. They might not be as important as points 1,2 & 3. However, they're the ones you could have counted on to go through the trouble of upgrading their existing PCs. Regular people have more than they need with XP and their old computer (having made the more significant 98->XP jump). Gamers have the desire to get the latest and greatest, they have the money and they have the knowledge to deal with the pains of drivers and incompatibilities. Unfortunately for you, they're also smart enough to see when it's not worth it. DX10 wasn't worth it. Anyone who has followed the list of pathetic DX10 games knows this. Visually there just isn't enough for gamers or developers to care enough. Are there enough games to make a difference in OS sales? Probably not, but MS has hurt more than helped in making this group interested in Vista/W7. Their focus on (or attempts to facilitate development for) console games that happen to also run on PCs hasn't helped. It slowed down gains in graphics (less ground gained ever since the xbox game along). It has slowed down the strides made in PC games, which also slowed down the memory usage and other hardware upgrade needs of said games.
Bottom line, as someone who just sees the OS as a game launcher for my home PC, the only feature I'm really interested in is using more than 3GB of RAM. Since PC game development isn't pushing the envelope like it used to, it's not nearly as important as it could have been (if consoles did not exist). Now, we wait for the next round of new consoles to push the envelope and get gamers to upgrade to the next relevant version of Windows.
This comment was edited on Feb 2, 2009, 00:11.