Smooth Links: | Thanks Ant and Acleacius. |
Play: |
Obama vs Romney Boxing Match Legendary Thieves. |
Links: |
'Battlestar Galactica- Blood and Chrome' being released online Friday. New! GameMaxx. Thanks HARDOCP. |
Science: |
Experiencing math anxiety may be like the experience of physical pain. Broken Heart Syndrome: Now doctors say you really CAN die from a sudden shock to the system. New dinosaur named after Sauron from Lord of the Rings. Or Blue's forum poster. Thanks nin. |
Media: |
The Brooklyn Hipster. Adam Savage Builds Patton Oswalt's Halloween Costume. How Videos Go Viral. |
sauron wrote on Nov 6, 2012, 11:14:PHJF wrote on Nov 6, 2012, 11:05:
Pray tell, enlighten us with your evidence of 538's apparently obvious bias. The methodology is spelled out in plain English on the site. All the numbers are ordered and explained. Or maybe you just saw "New York Times" and cried liberal because you're incapable of forming an opinion on your own.
I think he's just saying that the quality of the data coming out of the algorithm depends on the quality of the polling data that goes into it. Some polls tend to lean left (PPP), others tend to go right (Gallup).
Good article yesterday though that made the point that the large number of polls in the final week of the campaign add greatly to the statistical power of analyses that use all the data. Right now, there are only two ways that 538 could be wrong. Either the algorithm is inaccurate, or the majority of polling data are systematically biased towards Obama (for whatever reason).