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| 16. |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Nov 6, 2012, 11:14 |
sauron |
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PHJF wrote on Nov 6, 2012, 11:05:
Pray tell, enlighten us with your evidence of 538's apparently obvious bias. The methodology is spelled out in plain English on the site. All the numbers are ordered and explained. Or maybe you just saw "New York Times" and cried liberal because you're incapable of forming an opinion on your own.
I think he's just saying that the quality of the data coming out of the algorithm depends on the quality of the polling data that goes into it. Some polls tend to lean left (PPP), others tend to go right (Gallup).
Good article yesterday though that made the point that the large number of polls in the final week of the campaign add greatly to the statistical power of analyses that use all the data. Right now, there are only two ways that 538 could be wrong. Either the algorithm is inaccurate, or the majority of polling data are systematically biased towards Obama (for whatever reason).
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Date |
Subject |
Author |
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1. |
Nov 6, 09:59 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
nin |
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3. |
Nov 6, 10:20 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
sauron |
| |
4. |
Nov 6, 10:27 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
PHJF |
| |
7. |
Nov 6, 10:35 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
sauron |
| |
10. |
Nov 6, 10:38 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Slick |
| |
5. |
Nov 6, 10:32 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Jeraxle |
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9. |
Nov 6, 10:36 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
sauron |
| |
11. |
Nov 6, 10:42 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
PHJF |
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13. |
Nov 6, 10:46 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Jeraxle |
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14. |
Nov 6, 11:05 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
PHJF |
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16. |
Nov 6, 11:14 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
sauron |
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26. |
Nov 6, 11:46 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Cutter |
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34. |
Nov 6, 12:12 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Jeraxle |
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37. |
Nov 6, 12:51 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Creston |
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39. |
Nov 6, 13:25 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Jivaro |
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47. |
Nov 6, 14:39 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
sauron |
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17. |
Nov 6, 11:18 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Jeraxle |
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30. |
Nov 6, 11:50 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Verno |
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110. |
Nov 7, 05:04 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
jdreyer |
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12. |
Nov 6, 10:44 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Jeraxle |
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20. |
Nov 6, 11:26 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Creston |
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22. |
Nov 6, 11:28 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Jeraxle |
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27. |
Nov 6, 11:46 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Creston |
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126. |
Nov 7, 09:05 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
BobBob |
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128. |
Nov 7, 09:12 |
Weed legalized in Colorado, Washington |
PHJF |
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108. |
Nov 7, 05:00 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
jdreyer |
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8. |
Nov 6, 10:36 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
nin |
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15. |
Nov 6, 11:08 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Ratty |
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21. |
Nov 6, 11:28 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
nin |
| |
23. |
Nov 6, 11:33 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Bhruic |
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25. |
Nov 6, 11:41 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Ratty |
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31. |
Nov 6, 11:52 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Bhruic |
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18. |
Nov 6, 11:19 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
RollinThundr |
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109. |
Nov 7, 05:02 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
jdreyer |
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107. |
Nov 7, 04:53 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
jdreyer |
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139. |
Nov 7, 10:47 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Creston |
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19. |
Nov 6, 11:21 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
BobBob |
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24. |
Nov 6, 11:35 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Bucky |
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28. |
Nov 6, 11:48 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
nin |
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29. |
Nov 6, 11:49 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Creston |
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32. |
Nov 6, 11:53 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
sauron |
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2. |
Nov 6, 10:08 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Cutter |
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6. |
Nov 6, 10:33 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Alamar |
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33. |
Nov 6, 12:03 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Mr. Tact |
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35. |
Nov 6, 12:15 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
SimplyMonk |
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36. |
Nov 6, 12:50 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Creston |
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38. |
Nov 6, 13:24 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Jivaro |
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40. |
Nov 6, 13:49 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
PropheT |
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41. |
Nov 6, 13:56 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
jacobvandy |
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43. |
Nov 6, 14:15 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
1badmf |
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46. |
Nov 6, 14:38 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
sauron |
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45. |
Nov 6, 14:31 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
RollinThundr |
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48. |
Nov 6, 14:51 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
PropheT |
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50. |
Nov 6, 14:54 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Verno |
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51. |
Nov 6, 15:07 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
The Half Elf |
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54. |
Nov 6, 15:12 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Cutter |
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53. |
Nov 6, 15:09 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
RollinThundr |
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42. |
Nov 6, 14:13 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Hoop |
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44. |
Nov 6, 14:20 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
nin |
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49. |
Nov 6, 14:54 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Hoop |
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52. |
Nov 6, 15:08 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Cutter |
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55. |
Nov 6, 15:18 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
RollinThundr |
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56. |
Nov 6, 15:37 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Bodolza |
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57. |
Nov 6, 15:44 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
RollinThundr |
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78. |
Nov 6, 18:20 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
PHJF |
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81. |
Nov 6, 18:43 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Wowbagger_TIP |
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58. |
Nov 6, 15:45 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Wowbagger_TIP |
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59. |
Nov 6, 15:52 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
RollinThundr |
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64. |
Nov 6, 16:05 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Mingus |
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67. |
Nov 6, 16:25 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
RollinThundr |
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68. |
Nov 6, 16:31 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Bodolza |
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74. |
Nov 6, 17:48 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
RollinThundr |
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80. |
Nov 6, 18:42 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Wowbagger_TIP |
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88. |
Nov 7, 00:02 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Beamer |
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90. |
Nov 7, 00:20 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Creston |
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91. |
Nov 7, 00:29 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Beamer |
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93. |
Nov 7, 00:38 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Cutter |
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138. |
Nov 7, 10:41 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Creston |
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92. |
Nov 7, 00:30 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
RollinThundr |
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94. |
Nov 7, 00:46 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Cutter |
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119. |
Nov 7, 08:13 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
RollinThundr |
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127. |
Nov 7, 09:08 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Verno |
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129. |
Nov 7, 09:21 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Prez |
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130. |
Nov 7, 09:29 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
PHJF |
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132. |
Nov 7, 09:43 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Prez |
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134. |
Nov 7, 10:13 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
PHJF |
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136. |
Nov 7, 10:30 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Prez |
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137. |
Nov 7, 10:34 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
RollinThundr |
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131. |
Nov 7, 09:37 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
InBlack |
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133. |
Nov 7, 10:08 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
RollinThundr |
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135. |
Nov 7, 10:16 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Bhruic |
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150. |
Nov 7, 11:44 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Wowbagger_TIP |
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158. |
Nov 7, 12:12 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Prez |
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160. |
Nov 7, 12:19 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Bhruic |
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161. |
Nov 7, 12:35 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Prez |
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162. |
Nov 7, 12:51 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Verno |
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163. |
Nov 7, 13:18 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Wowbagger_TIP |
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164. |
Nov 7, 13:38 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
PHJF |
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166. |
Nov 7, 13:45 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Beamer |
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167. |
Nov 7, 13:45 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Wowbagger_TIP |
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180. |
Nov 7, 16:07 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Bhruic |
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165. |
Nov 7, 13:42 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Beamer |
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120. |
Nov 7, 08:14 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Beamer |
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125. |
Nov 7, 08:57 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
RollinThundr |
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140. |
Nov 7, 10:51 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Creston |
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141. |
Nov 7, 10:53 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Beamer |
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143. |
Nov 7, 10:55 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Beamer |
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148. |
Nov 7, 11:28 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Creston |
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149. |
Nov 7, 11:31 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
RollinThundr |
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153. |
Nov 7, 11:47 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Prez |
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159. |
Nov 7, 12:14 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Bhruic |
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151. |
Nov 7, 11:44 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Beamer |
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156. |
Nov 7, 11:55 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
PHJF |
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157. |
Nov 7, 12:06 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Wowbagger_TIP |
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168. |
Nov 7, 13:54 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
RollinThundr |
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169. |
Nov 7, 14:27 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Scottish Martial Arts |
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170. |
Nov 7, 14:34 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
RollinThundr |
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174. |
Nov 7, 14:54 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Scottish Martial Arts |
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171. |
Nov 7, 14:37 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Beamer |
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172. |
Nov 7, 14:46 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
RollinThundr |
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173. |
Nov 7, 14:48 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Beamer |
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177. |
Nov 7, 15:48 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Wowbagger_TIP |
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178. |
Nov 7, 15:57 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
RollinThundr |
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179. |
Nov 7, 16:06 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Wowbagger_TIP |
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181. |
Nov 7, 16:25 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Beamer |
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183. |
Nov 7, 16:34 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Wowbagger_TIP |
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182. |
Nov 7, 16:32 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
RollinThundr |
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184. |
Nov 7, 16:37 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Wowbagger_TIP |
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185. |
Nov 7, 20:43 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Beamer |
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186. |
Nov 7, 21:40 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Dades |
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187. |
Nov 7, 22:09 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Prez |
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188. |
Nov 8, 10:09 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
RollinThundr |
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189. |
Nov 8, 11:15 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Beamer |
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190. |
Nov 8, 12:22 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
RollinThundr |
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191. |
Nov 8, 12:27 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Wowbagger_TIP |
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192. |
Nov 8, 13:07 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Beamer |
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197. |
Nov 8, 15:03 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
RollinThundr |
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198. |
Nov 8, 16:28 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Beamer |
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199. |
Nov 8, 17:02 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Wowbagger_TIP |
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200. |
Nov 8, 18:13 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
RollinThundr |
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201. |
Nov 8, 19:28 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Bhruic |
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202. |
Nov 8, 19:38 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Wowbagger_TIP |
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203. |
Nov 8, 19:45 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
RollinThundr |
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204. |
Nov 8, 20:26 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Wowbagger_TIP |
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205. |
Nov 8, 22:20 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Beamer |
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206. |
Nov 8, 23:15 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Wowbagger_TIP |
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207. |
Nov 8, 23:27 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
nin |
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208. |
Nov 9, 00:43 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Prez |
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209. |
Nov 9, 09:02 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Wowbagger_TIP |
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211. |
Nov 9, 09:52 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Prez |
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212. |
Nov 9, 10:19 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Wowbagger_TIP |
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213. |
Nov 9, 10:35 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Prez |
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214. |
Nov 9, 11:18 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Wowbagger_TIP |
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215. |
Nov 9, 11:19 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Mr. Tact |
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225. |
Nov 9, 18:35 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Prez |
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226. |
Nov 9, 18:51 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Wowbagger_TIP |
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227. |
Nov 9, 19:04 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Prez |
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228. |
Nov 9, 20:43 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Wowbagger_TIP |
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229. |
Nov 9, 21:37 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Prez |
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230. |
Nov 9, 21:49 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Wowbagger_TIP |
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231. |
Nov 9, 21:50 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Mr. Tact |
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232. |
Nov 9, 22:02 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Prez |
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218. |
Nov 9, 11:34 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Mr. Tact |
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210. |
Nov 9, 09:29 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Beamer |
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216. |
Nov 9, 11:27 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
RollinThundr |
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219. |
Nov 9, 11:44 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Wowbagger_TIP |
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220. |
Nov 9, 11:47 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Beamer |
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221. |
Nov 9, 12:14 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
RollinThundr |
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222. |
Nov 9, 12:19 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Wowbagger_TIP |
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223. |
Nov 9, 12:43 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Beamer |
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142. |
Nov 7, 10:54 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Prez |
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144. |
Nov 7, 10:58 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Beamer |
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145. |
Nov 7, 11:12 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
RollinThundr |
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146. |
Nov 7, 11:19 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Prez |
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147. |
Nov 7, 11:21 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
nin |
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152. |
Nov 7, 11:45 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Beamer |
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154. |
Nov 7, 11:47 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Beamer |
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155. |
Nov 7, 11:53 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
RollinThundr |
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175. |
Nov 7, 14:59 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Cutter |
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176. |
Nov 7, 15:04 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
RollinThundr |
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66. |
Nov 6, 16:09 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Draugr |
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60. |
Nov 6, 15:53 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
El Pit |
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61. |
Nov 6, 15:59 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
MajorD |
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62. |
Nov 6, 16:04 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
sauron |
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63. |
Nov 6, 16:05 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
nin |
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65. |
Nov 6, 16:07 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
sauron |
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69. |
Nov 6, 16:34 |
Re: How Videos Go Viral |
MajorD |
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70. |
Nov 6, 17:04 |
Re: How Videos Go Viral |
Agent.X7 |
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71. |
Nov 6, 17:12 |
Re: How Videos Go Viral |
Wowbagger_TIP |
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72. |
Nov 6, 17:21 |
Re: How Videos Go Viral |
Ratty |
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73. |
Nov 6, 17:43 |
Re: How Videos Go Viral |
Enahs |
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75. |
Nov 6, 18:04 |
Re: How Videos Go Viral |
Creston |
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76. |
Nov 6, 18:07 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
xXBatmanXx |
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82. |
Nov 6, 18:59 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Creston |
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83. |
Nov 6, 19:20 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Wowbagger_TIP |
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77. |
Nov 6, 18:09 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Cutter |
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79. |
Nov 6, 18:26 |
Re: More Big Picture Details |
HorrorScope |
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84. |
Nov 6, 19:44 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Cutter |
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85. |
Nov 6, 19:49 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
xXBatmanXx |
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86. |
Nov 6, 23:27 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
nin |
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87. |
Nov 6, 23:31 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Wowbagger_TIP |
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89. |
Nov 7, 00:10 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
nin |
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96. |
Nov 7, 01:04 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Cutter |
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98. |
Nov 7, 01:39 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Jeraxle |
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99. |
Nov 7, 01:44 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Cutter |
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100. |
Nov 7, 01:45 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Jeraxle |
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101. |
Nov 7, 02:07 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Cutter |
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102. |
Nov 7, 02:14 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Jeraxle |
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103. |
Nov 7, 02:24 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Wowbagger_TIP |
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104. |
Nov 7, 02:43 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Cutter |
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105. |
Nov 7, 02:45 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Jeraxle |
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106. |
Nov 7, 03:21 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Cutter |
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111. |
Nov 7, 05:13 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
jdreyer |
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112. |
Nov 7, 05:19 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
jdreyer |
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118. |
Nov 7, 08:09 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Beamer |
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121. |
Nov 7, 08:16 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Prez |
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123. |
Nov 7, 08:50 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Beamer |
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124. |
Nov 7, 08:54 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Beamer |
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95. |
Nov 7, 00:50 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Cutter |
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97. |
Nov 7, 01:36 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
xXBatmanXx |
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122. |
Nov 7, 08:25 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
PHJF |
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113. |
Nov 7, 05:22 |
BSG Blood and Chrome |
jdreyer |
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114. |
Nov 7, 05:24 |
Dinosaur Sauron |
jdreyer |
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115. |
Nov 7, 05:25 |
Broken Heart Syndrome |
jdreyer |
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116. |
Nov 7, 06:25 |
Re: Broken Heart Syndrome |
InBlack |
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117. |
Nov 7, 07:30 |
Re: Broken Heart Syndrome |
The Half Elf |
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193. |
Nov 8, 14:07 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Mr. Tact |
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194. |
Nov 8, 14:10 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Beamer |
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195. |
Nov 8, 14:28 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Mr. Tact |
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196. |
Nov 8, 14:36 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Beamer |
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217. |
Nov 9, 11:32 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Verno |
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224. |
Nov 9, 13:32 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Verno |
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233. |
Nov 9, 22:21 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Mr. Tact |
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234. |
Nov 9, 22:44 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Prez |
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235. |
Nov 11, 22:15 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Prez |
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236. |
Nov 11, 23:49 |
Re: Out of the Blue |
Wowbagger_TIP |
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