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Op Ed

Gamasutra - How long before the Kickstarter bubble bursts?
We are still in the early days of our Kickstarter relationship, the early days of falling in love. Everything our partner does is wonderful. We gloss over the risks, we ignore the downsides, because the glory of falling in love is everything.

I think we have about six months left of that period. Towards the end of this year, some Kickstarter projects are going to start slipping. Some will see their teams collapse amidst bicker recriminations. Some pledgers are going to start getting very angry.

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62. Re: Op Ed May 8, 2012, 20:10 Cutter
 
ASeven wrote on May 8, 2012, 19:39:
PropheT wrote on May 8, 2012, 18:23:
Cutter wrote on May 8, 2012, 15:58:
What bubble? There is no bubble. Clearly the author doesn't understand the concept of crowd-sourcing and why people like it. This isn't an investment strategy.


We'll see about that when one of these developers either fails to produce a decent game as a result of their kickstarter, or worse, fails to produce a game at all. Both are scenarios that are more or less guaranteed to happen eventually.

What will happen is that the people who bought that will be sorely disappointed, KS projects will go on, people will still support KS projects based on their own assertions. Crowdfunding is a new economic phenomenon not yet fully understood by economists, to claim it has a bubble is way too ridiculous, especially since with crowdfunding projects are independent of each other and the failure of one does not necessarily means the failure of another.

Once the dust settles I see people still supporting KS projects but the amount of projects that do get funded will decrease with time, as people either don't feel attracted to the projects or other, better crowdfunding business models appear.

Exactly. A lot of people out there prefer to support small business and losing $10 or $20 here or there isn't going to change that. We're soon in for a fundanmental shift in how we live and do business in the first world as see the drawdown and end of cheap oil. Over the leasr several decades we've seen that, slow, graducal shift - which will not only continue but increase- toward an entirely different way of living. Sustainable, renewable, fair, these are all things that are going to be essential if the species to survive, much less thrive. The Walmarts of the world won't dissapear anytime soon but their days are definitely numbered.

 
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"The South will boogie again!" - Disco Stu
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    Date Subject Author
  1. May 8, 09:30 Re: Op Ed Verno
  2. May 8, 09:38  Re: Op Ed Beamer
  29. May 8, 14:21   Re: Op Ed Creston
  3. May 8, 09:39  Re: Op Ed Kajetan
  5. May 8, 09:57   Re: Op Ed Verno
  6. May 8, 10:56    Re: Op Ed InBlack
  7. May 8, 11:27     Re: Op Ed Quboid
  18. May 8, 13:53  Re: Op Ed Yosemite Sam
  19. May 8, 14:00   Re: Op Ed ASeven
  20. May 8, 14:04    Re: Op Ed nin
  21. May 8, 14:05     Re: Op Ed ASeven
  22. May 8, 14:08      Re: Op Ed nin
  25. May 8, 14:11     Re: Op Ed Creston
  27. May 8, 14:17      Re: Op Ed Tumbler
  30. May 8, 14:23       Re: Op Ed Prez
  34. May 8, 14:29        Re: Op Ed Creston
  36. May 8, 14:33         Re: Op Ed Prez
  64. May 8, 22:36          Re: Op Ed Creston
  38. May 8, 14:39         Re: Op Ed ASeven
  23. May 8, 14:10   Re: Op Ed Prez
  53. May 8, 15:34    Re: Op Ed Flatline
  4. May 8, 09:42 Re: Op Ed space captain
  8. May 8, 11:36 Re: Op Ed Ruffiana
  9. May 8, 11:39  Re: Op Ed nin
  10. May 8, 11:56   Re: Op Ed Beamer
  11. May 8, 12:56   Re: Op Ed Prez
  12. May 8, 13:10    Re: Op Ed Beamer
  13. May 8, 13:20    Re: Op Ed Eberron
  14. May 8, 13:27     Re: Op Ed nin
  16. May 8, 13:31      Re: Op Ed Beamer
  15. May 8, 13:29     Re: Op Ed Beamer
  24. May 8, 14:11      Re: Op Ed Eberron
  17. May 8, 13:50 Re: Op Ed Tumbler
  28. May 8, 14:18  Re: Op Ed Beamer
  31. May 8, 14:24   Re: Op Ed Tumbler
  35. May 8, 14:33    Re: Op Ed Beamer
  39. May 8, 14:41     Re: Op Ed Eberron
  40. May 8, 14:44      Re: Op Ed nin
  42. May 8, 14:47      Re: Op Ed ASeven
  45. May 8, 14:54       Re: Op Ed NKD
  47. May 8, 15:00        Re: Op Ed ASeven
  41. May 8, 14:44     Re: Op Ed ASeven
  43. May 8, 14:47     Re: Op Ed Tumbler
  46. May 8, 14:57      Re: Op Ed Prez
  48. May 8, 15:02       Re: Op Ed ASeven
  50. May 8, 15:29       Re: Op Ed briktal
  60. May 8, 18:57     Re: Op Ed Eirikrautha
  33. May 8, 14:28   Re: Op Ed Eberron
  37. May 8, 14:38    Re: Op Ed Beamer
  44. May 8, 14:47     Re: Op Ed Eberron
  54. May 8, 15:42      Re: Op Ed Beamer
  49. May 8, 15:13    Re: Op Ed shinchan0s
  51. May 8, 15:29     Re: Op Ed Eberron
  52. May 8, 15:33      Re: Op Ed nin
  55. May 8, 15:47       Re: Op Ed Tumbler
  65. May 8, 22:44      Re: Op Ed shinchan0s
  26. May 8, 14:12 Re: Op Ed Creston
  32. May 8, 14:27  Re: Op Ed ASeven
  56. May 8, 15:58 Re: Op Ed Cutter
  57. May 8, 16:20  Re: Op Ed PHJF
  58. May 8, 17:05   Re: Op Ed Beamer
  59. May 8, 18:23  Re: Op Ed PropheT
  61. May 8, 19:39   Re: Op Ed ASeven
>> 62. May 8, 20:10    Re: Op Ed Cutter
  63. May 8, 22:15     Re: Op Ed Eberron
  66. May 8, 22:51      Re: Op Ed Draugr
  67. May 8, 22:52      Re: Op Ed nin
  68. May 8, 23:08       Re: Op Ed Sepharo
  69. May 8, 23:21        Re: Op Ed nin
  70. May 8, 23:56         Re: Op Ed Draugr
  71. May 9, 00:50          Re: Op Ed Prez
  72. May 9, 01:59           Re: Op Ed Jerykk
  75. May 10, 13:45            Re: Op Ed Wowbagger_TIP
  73. May 9, 08:52          Re: Op Ed nin
  74. May 10, 00:02      Re: Op Ed Creston


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