Send News. Want a reply? Read this. More in the FAQ.   News Forum - All Forums - Mobile - PDA - RSS Headlines  RSS Headlines   Twitter  Twitter
Customize
User Settings
Styles:
LAN Parties
Upcoming one-time events:

Regularly scheduled events

Portal 2 Watch

According to GLaDOS@Home, calculations are complete for two of the 13 games, as players look to trigger an early release of Portal 2. Both The Wonderful End of the World and 1... 2... 3... Kick It are complete, and a Dejobaan triple-play looms, as it looks likely that AaAaAA!!! - A Reckless Disregard for Gravity will be next.

View
48. Re: Portal 2 Watch Apr 17, 2011, 03:17 Dev
 
Projected Launch (after filling bars for 3 of 13 games):
52h:19m
(4am ish tuesday PST).


Default launch with no work:
54h:48m
(6am ish tuesday PST)

So really, its only going to launch 2 and a half hours early from all that work. Even if every bar fills (which is NOT going to happen), valve is at most gonna let it launch 10 or so hours early. My guess is that all this work and money will only end up launching the game 5 or 6 hours early.

Plus, what if valve ends up delaying the release for a few hours anyway? People expected a midnight release of hl2 and that didn't happen.

So far its all kinda a yawn to me.

Edit: Those release time estimators are way off since they don't take into account a couple factors.
The biggest one is that they think the bar filling is how much unlocking is happening. ITS NOT. The bar at the top is how much time is completed towards the finish line. So waiting 24 hours out of the 96 is by default going to show 25% done. Add the extra hour from 1 unlock and that only advances the bar another 1% for a total of 26%.
The actual formula to estimate is going to be a differential equation that has a steady unchanging rate increase in bar tied to time and a estimated additional rate that's dependant on how fast the bars are unlocking and how much CPUs are available AND the potato factor which is ever increasing. Plus each game's bar is NOT equal. Look at how many people are playing killing floor and its not going up much. My guess is valve did each game's bar based on some percentage of total owners and there's tons more killing floor owners.

All this stuff about upsetting retail partners. Aint gonna happen. The game will unlock earliest at midnight east coast. More likely midnight west coast. So yeah, its on for Tuesday release, just slightly earlier Tuesday. Valve isn't about to break their own release date, they are about the money and they don't think the money is in upsetting retail. If they did, they would have had a bigger discount on digital copies.

This comment was edited on Apr 17, 2011, 03:35.
 
Previous Post Next Post Reply Quote Edit Delete Report
 
    Date Subject Author
  1. Apr 16, 20:14 Re: Portal 2 Watch nin
  2. Apr 16, 20:16  Re: Portal 2 Watch Jerykk
  3. Apr 16, 20:18  Re: Portal 2 Watch Cutter
  5. Apr 16, 20:29   Re: Portal 2 Watch Asmo
  6. Apr 16, 20:45   Re: Portal 2 Watch nin
  8. Apr 16, 20:48    Re: Portal 2 Watch The Half Elf
  9. Apr 16, 20:51    Re: Portal 2 Watch Verno
  40. Apr 17, 01:38   Re: Portal 2 Watch Stolk
  41. Apr 17, 01:42    Re: Portal 2 Watch Verno
  49. Apr 17, 03:29     Re: Portal 2 Watch Jerykk
  58. Apr 17, 08:53      Re: Portal 2 Watch Ray Marden
  42. Apr 17, 02:37    Re: Portal 2 Watch entr0py
  4. Apr 16, 20:26  Re: Portal 2 Watch Verno
  19. Apr 16, 22:35   Re: Portal 2 Watch Krovven
  20. Apr 16, 22:44    Re: Portal 2 Watch Jerykk
  21. Apr 16, 22:57     Re: Portal 2 Watch [VG]Reagle
  22. Apr 16, 23:05      Re: Portal 2 Watch Tumbler
  23. Apr 16, 23:10       Re: Portal 2 Watch Sepharo
  24. Apr 16, 23:18        Re: Portal 2 Watch Enahs
  25. Apr 16, 23:33         Re: Portal 2 Watch [VG]Reagle
  28. Apr 16, 23:47         Re: Portal 2 Watch Milkman Dan
  26. Apr 16, 23:40      Re: Portal 2 Watch Krovven
  30. Apr 17, 00:07     Re: Portal 2 Watch Ray Marden
  7. Apr 16, 20:46  Re: Portal 2 Watch jimnms
  12. Apr 16, 21:48  Re: Portal 2 Watch necrosis
  13. Apr 16, 21:52   Re: Portal 2 Watch nin
  14. Apr 16, 21:59    Re: Portal 2 Watch Sepharo
  34. Apr 17, 01:05     Re: Portal 2 Watch Beamer
  10. Apr 16, 21:13 Re: Portal 2 Watch Mashiki Amiketo
  11. Apr 16, 21:30  Re: Portal 2 Watch SpectralMeat
  29. Apr 16, 23:52   Re: Portal 2 Watch Cutter
  31. Apr 17, 00:36    Re: Portal 2 Watch killer_roach
  32. Apr 17, 00:53     Re: Portal 2 Watch Mashiki Amiketo
  33. Apr 17, 01:03     Re: Portal 2 Watch Beamer
  39. Apr 17, 01:33      Re: Portal 2 Watch Stolk
  43. Apr 17, 02:56       Re: Portal 2 Watch Mashiki Amiketo
  50. Apr 17, 03:36      Re: Portal 2 Watch grudgebearer
  74. Apr 17, 12:42       Re: Portal 2 Watch Dirwulf
  77. Apr 17, 13:06        Re: Portal 2 Watch Sepharo
  78. Apr 17, 13:13         Re: Portal 2 Watch Overon
  79. Apr 17, 13:18          Re: Portal 2 Watch Overon
  81. Apr 17, 14:07           Re: Portal 2 Watch [VG]Reagle
  91. Apr 18, 11:50         Re: Portal 2 Watch Beamer
  84. Apr 17, 14:34        Re: Portal 2 Watch spindoctor
  86. Apr 17, 15:54        Re: Portal 2 Watch grudgebearer
  51. Apr 17, 03:40      Re: Portal 2 Watch Bhruic
  52. Apr 17, 06:14       Re: Portal 2 Watch Tango
  53. Apr 17, 07:35        Re: Portal 2 Watch yuastnav
  59. Apr 17, 09:16        Re: Portal 2 Watch Bhruic
  60. Apr 17, 09:18      Re: Portal 2 Watch Ray Marden
  62. Apr 17, 10:12      Re: Portal 2 Watch shul
  63. Apr 17, 10:15      Re: Portal 2 Watch DNForever
  68. Apr 17, 11:18      Re: Portal 2 Watch Rilcon
  76. Apr 17, 12:59       Re: Portal 2 Watch [VG]Reagle
  82. Apr 17, 14:09        Re: Portal 2 Watch Yaogun
  85. Apr 17, 15:08        Re: Portal 2 Watch Parallax Abstraction
  35. Apr 17, 01:16    Re: Portal 2 Watch Verno
  56. Apr 17, 08:43     Re: Portal 2 Watch SpectralMeat
  15. Apr 16, 22:03 Re: Portal 2 Watch Verno
  16. Apr 16, 22:16 Re: Portal 2 Watch Parallax Abstraction
  18. Apr 16, 22:25  Re: Portal 2 Watch Rilcon
  36. Apr 17, 01:21   removed DragonKP
  37. Apr 17, 01:26    Re: Portal 2 Watch DarkCntry
  38. Apr 17, 01:32     Re: Portal 2 Watch Jerykk
  80. Apr 17, 13:59      Re: Portal 2 Watch Sepharo
  17. Apr 16, 22:22 Re: Portal 2 Watch xXBatmanXx
  27. Apr 16, 23:45 Re: Portal 2 Watch Verno
  44. Apr 17, 03:02 Re: Portal 2 Watch raVen
  45. Apr 17, 03:09 Re: Portal 2 Watch KilrathiAce
  46. Apr 17, 03:12  Re: Portal 2 Watch DarkCntry
  47. Apr 17, 03:14   Re: Portal 2 Watch raVen
>> 48. Apr 17, 03:17 Re: Portal 2 Watch Dev
  54. Apr 17, 08:05 Re: Portal 2 Watch TeeCee
  55. Apr 17, 08:11 Re: Portal 2 Watch TeeCee
  57. Apr 17, 08:44  Re: Portal 2 Watch bfg9000
  61. Apr 17, 09:57 Re: Portal 2 Watch Riker
  64. Apr 17, 10:30  Re: Portal 2 Watch ViRGE
  66. Apr 17, 10:43   Re: Portal 2 Watch Shok
  73. Apr 17, 12:35   Re: Portal 2 Watch nin
  65. Apr 17, 10:38 Re: Portal 2 Watch Tumbler
  67. Apr 17, 10:57  Re: Portal 2 Watch Ray Marden
  69. Apr 17, 11:57 Re: Portal 2 Watch Verno
  70. Apr 17, 12:00  Re: Portal 2 Watch Nameless Again
  71. Apr 17, 12:00   Re: Portal 2 Watch Nameless Again
  72. Apr 17, 12:22   Re: Portal 2 Watch Prez
  90. Apr 18, 11:49  Re: Portal 2 Watch Beamer
  75. Apr 17, 12:53 Re: Portal 2 Watch Pigeon
  83. Apr 17, 14:27 Re: Portal 2 Watch jimnms
  87. Apr 17, 18:03 Re: Portal 2 Watch Dev
  88. Apr 17, 19:32  Re: Portal 2 Watch Krovven
  89. Apr 17, 20:48 Re: Portal 2 Watch Verno
  92. Apr 18, 11:54  Re: Portal 2 Watch Beamer
  93. Apr 18, 12:33   Re: Portal 2 Watch Prez
  94. Apr 18, 12:39   Re: Portal 2 Watch Verno
  95. Apr 18, 12:56   Re: Portal 2 Watch Ray Marden
  96. Apr 18, 23:53   Re: Portal 2 Watch Dev


footer

Blue's News logo